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    <title>Predictability of marine ecosystems in a changing climate</title>
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    <namePart>Junker, Karin</namePart>
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    <namePart>Dippner, Joachim W.</namePart>
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    <namePart>Vuorinen, Ilppo</namePart>
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  <abstract type="Summary">Ecosystem predictability is the basis for ecosystem management. To study the influence of climate on the variability and predictability of marine ecosystems, various climate indices are related to ecosystem descriptors. Various aspects influencing ecosystem predictability are being discussed. It is shown that predictability of marine ecosystems is altered by large-scale transitions in the atmosphere. A multivariate climate descriptor is developed to compensate for the increase in non-linearity due to a regime shift in 2001/2002 and the resulting decrease in predictability.&lt;eng&gt;</abstract>
  <abstract type="Summary">Die Vorhersagbarkeit von Ökosystemen ist die Grundlage für erfolgreiches Ökosystemmanagement. Um den Einfluss des Klimas auf die Vorhersagbarkeit mariner Ökosysteme zu untersuchen, werden Klimaindizes mit Deskriptoren mariner Ökosysteme in Beziehung gesetzt. Die die Vorhersagbarkeit von Ökosystemen beeinflussenden Faktoren werden diskutiert. Es wird gezeigt, dass großskalige Veränderungen in der Atmosphäre die Vorhersagbarkeit von Ökosystemen beeinflussen. Ein multivariater Index wird entwickelt um die Abnahme der Vorhersagbarkeit durch einen Regime Shift in 2001/2002 zu kompensieren.&lt;ger&gt;</abstract>
  <note type="statement of responsibility">vorgelegt von Karin Junker</note>
  <note type="thesis">Dissertation Universität Rostock 2013</note>
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      <title>Predictability of marine ecosystems in a changing climate</title>
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      <form>xii, ii, 170 Seiten</form>
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  <identifier type="urn">urn:nbn:de:gbv:28-diss2018-0127-3</identifier>
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